Bank of England interest rate hike: Warns of brutal recession on record

Bank of England interest rate hike 2022

Bank of England interest rate hike 2022

People all around the world were curious to know that will the Bank of England’s interest rates go up in 2022. 

After announcing its largest interest rate hike in over 30 years as a means of combating the nation’s skyrocketing inflation, the London central bank issued a dire warning that the nation is facing a protracted and severe recession.

The Bank of England interest rate hiked to 3% from 2.25 percent on Thursday, following consumer price inflation returning to a 40-year high in September.

The Bank of England warns recession on record  in 100 years.

As reported by the Guardian, the UK economy has a “particularly tough future,” with a recession which started this summer predicted to last till the mid of 2024.

The Conservatives will have to battle to stay in power at the end of a long recession, in which the London central Bank predicted that unemployment would increase from 3.5% to 6.5%, in case a general election is conducted in 2024.

The Bank of England  interest rate hiked to 3%, in the biggest single rate hike since 1989

The Bank of England  interest rate hiked to 3%, in the biggest single rate hike since 1989

As a result of the war in Ukraine, which has limited the availability of gas and driven up the price of critical commodities globally, inflation has exploded in the majority of wealthy nations.

The Bank of England hiked interest rates in recent months as the war’s impact on gas as well as other commodities prices has escalated.

High energy costs combined with a labour shortage in some important industries have had a negative impact on Britain, raising fears about rising wages.

The Bank of England recession forecasts are anticipated to be read by financial markets as a limitation on interest rate increases in the upcoming year, probably to no more than 4%.

UK Prime minister resigned due to financial market instability 

Investors predicted interest rates would peak at 5.25% as the UK Prime minister resigned due to financial market instability, but by the time of the November MPC meeting, they had already lowered that prediction to 4.75%.

Former British prime minister Liz Truss’ “mini” budget in late September, which promised £45 billion ($51.6 billion) in unfunded tax cuts, sank the pound, plunged bond prices, caused havoc in mortgage markets, which made the Bank of England hike interest rates to intervene in an urgency to save strained pension funds.

Liz Truss’ tax-cutting proposals have since largely been abandoned, bringing calm to the markets and reducing predictions for inflation in the near future. 

However, rising energy and food prices are maintaining the high level of prices. In September, the annual rate of inflation increased to 10.1% from 9.9% in Aug, reverting to the 40-year peak reached in July.

London central bank’s bumbling report

According to the London central Bank’s report, “the economy has experienced a series of very significant shocks. As the recovery to these shocks progresses, monetary policy will make sure that consumer price index inflation returns to the 2% objective in the medium term.”

Bank of england’s interest rate hike set to rise further

Bank of England interest rate hike

Silvana Tenreyro & Swati Dhingra, two lawmakers, supported less significant rises in interest rates of 0.25 % & 0.5 %, respectively.

The majority of the Monetary Policy Committee’s nine members, however, believed that interest rate hike would need to climb even further, though probably not to the level of 5.2 percent that was predicted by the financial markets once the Bank of England confirmed its forecasts.

In uncommonly specific advice to investors, the Bank of England stated that “further interest rate hikes might be necessary for a durable recovery of inflation towards target, although at a level lower than priced into capital markets.”

The statement said, “The committee continues to evaluate that, if the outlook shows more prolonged rising inflation, it will respond robustly, as necessary.”

How bad is the recession going to be in the UK?

The  Bank of England forecasts that the rate of inflation, which reached 10.1% in September, will rise at 11 percent by the end of 2022 before declining “probably rather rapidly” starting in the middle of 2023.
Consumer spending and corporate confidence are projected to suffer, resulting in a 2 year recession that will last as long, if not longer, than the 1930s global recession.

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